Burkina Faso national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 22, 2024 at 10pm UK
Stade Pere-Jego
Libya national football team

Burkina Faso
1 - 2
Libya

Bouda (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Al Badri (36'), Al Khoja (52')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Burkina Faso and Libya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 30 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Libya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Kuwait 1-3 Libya
Friday, January 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 41.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Libya had a probability of 28.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawLibya
41.42% (0.225 0.23)29.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)28.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 41.82% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.13% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)64.86% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.2% (-0.058 -0.06)83.79% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.090000000000003 0.09)30.92% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.104 0.1)67.22% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.54% (-0.234 -0.23)39.45% (0.23200000000001 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.85% (-0.217 -0.22)76.15% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 41.42%
    Libya 28.95%
    Draw 29.62%
Burkina FasoDrawLibya
1-0 @ 14.32% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.42%
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.62%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 28.95%