Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Libya had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.