World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 21, 2023 at 11am UK

Rizal Memorial Stadium

Philippines
1 - 1
Indonesia

Reichelt (23')
Etheridge (34'), Ingreso (52'), Ingreso (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramdani (70')
Ramdani (34'), Struick (83'), Sato (85')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Philippines and Indonesia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Philippines 0-2 Vietnam
Thursday, November 16 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

Last Game: Iraq 5-1 Indonesia
Thursday, November 16 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Philippines win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Philippines	Draw	Indonesia
36.88% ( 1.42)	23.99% ( 0.13)	39.13% ( -1.56)

Both teams to score 61.49% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.17% (

-0.48)

40.83% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.78% (

-0.49)

63.21% (

0.49)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

0.52)

22.14% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

0.79)

55.52% (

-0.79)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

-0.93)

21.02% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.19% (

-1.47)

53.81% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Philippines 36.88%

Indonesia 39.13%

Draw 23.98%

Philippines	Draw	Indonesia
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.88%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.13%