Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match.