Friendlies 3

Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī

Bahrain
2 - 0
Kyrgyzstan

Abdulwahab (59'), Duaij (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Bahrain and Kyrgyzstan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

Last Game: Bahrain 1-1 Turkmenistan
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 3-1 Kuwait
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Kyrgyzstan win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
47.36% ( 0.07)	26.12% ( 0.05)	26.51% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.97% (

-0.25)

54.03% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

-0.21)

75.47% (

0.21)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.07)

22.81% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.48% (

-0.11)

56.52% (

0.11)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-0.23)

35.5% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-0.24)

72.26% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 47.36%

Kyrgyzstan 26.51%

Draw 26.12%

Bahrain	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.36%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.51%