Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Syria had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Syria win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match.