World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg

Oct 17, 2023 at 1.15pm UK

Stadium Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah

Brunei
0 - 6
Indonesia

(Indonesia win 12-0 on aggregate)

Kasyful (11'), Yazid Said (83'), Said (84')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Caraka (6', 44'), Maulana (42'), Sulaeman (47' pen.), Ridho (63'), Sananta (82')
Walsh (34')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Burnei and Indonesia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnei

Last Game: Indonesia 6-0 Brunei
Thursday, October 12 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 6-0 Brunei
Thursday, October 12 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 94.38%. A draw had a probability of 4% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 1.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 0-4 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (8.88%) and 0-3 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.68%), while for a Burnei win it was 2-1 (0.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
Burnei	Draw	Indonesia
1.63% ( -0.09)	3.98% ( 0.16)	94.38% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.62% (

-5.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

88.94% (

-2.41)

11.06% (

2.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

75.88% (

-4.3)

24.12% (

4.31)

Burnei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.14% (

-5.24)

51.86% (

5.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.09% (

-3.71)

85.91% (

3.72)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.91% (

-0.24)

1.09% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

93.98% (

-1.11)

6.02% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Burnei 1.63%

Indonesia 94.38%

Draw 3.98%

Burnei	Draw	Indonesia
Other @ 1.63% Total : 1.63%	1-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.06% Total : 3.98%	0-4 @ 9.82% ( 1.29) 0-5 @ 8.88% ( 0.74) 0-3 @ 8.69% ( 1.54) 0-6 @ 6.69% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 6.45% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 5.83% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 1.27) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( 0.25) 1-6 @ 4.39% ( -0.54) 0-7 @ 4.32% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.35) 1-7 @ 2.84% ( -0.53) 0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.67) 0-8 @ 2.44% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.37) 2-5 @ 1.91% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.21) 1-8 @ 1.6% ( -0.4) 2-6 @ 1.44% ( -0.44) 0-9 @ 1.23% ( -0.17) 2-7 @ 0.93% ( -0.35) Other @ 5.11% Total : 94.38%