Indonesia national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Turkmenistan national football team

Indonesia
2 - 0
Turkmenistan

Sulistyawan (19'), Maulana (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guychmyrat (27'), Tagayew (51')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Indonesia and Turkmenistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 0-2 Argentina
Monday, June 19 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

Turkmenistan

Last Game: Malaysia 1-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 23 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
IndonesiaDrawTurkmenistan
51.05% (0.2 0.2)25.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)23.13% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)55.41% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.39% (-0.052 -0.05)76.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (0.061000000000007 0.06)21.76% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (0.090000000000003 0.09)54.94% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.206 -0.21)39.27% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.191 -0.19)75.98% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 51.04%
    Turkmenistan 23.14%
    Draw 25.82%
IndonesiaDrawTurkmenistan
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 23.14%

How you voted: Indonesia vs Turkmenistan

Indonesia
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Turkmenistan
21.4%
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