Indonesia vs Turkmenistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.