While Vietnam's recent results may appear alarming at first glance, the calibre of opposition must be taken into account, and the Golden Star Warriors boast a touch more pedigree at this level than their hosts.
The Philippines ought to give their visitors a good run for their money, but as was the case in December 2022, we expect Vietnam to nick a goal and shut up shop to get their qualification campaign off to a flyer.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.
-0) 
0)
