International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2023 12.00pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Kim Min-jae 5' goal
  • Hwang Hee-chan 27' goal
  • Trong Vo Minh 50' goal
  • Son Heung-min 61' goal
  • Lee Kang-in 70' goal
  • Park Yong-woo 75' yellowcard
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 86' goal
  • yellowcard Viet Anh Bui Hoang 37'
  • redcard Viet Anh Bui Hoang 61'

South Korea vs Vietnam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 12.00pm
South Korea 4 - 0 Tunisia

Vietnam

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 12.35pm
China 2 - 0 Vietnam

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vietnam had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Vietnam win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result

South Korea 55.12% (+0.86)
Draw 24.95% (-0.32)
Vietnam 19.92% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.9% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.58% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 55.42% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 23.38% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 76.61% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 10.35% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 89.65% (-0.29)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 79.92% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 20.07% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 47.69% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 52.31% (-0.91)

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5 57.43% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 42.57% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 21.07% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 78.93% (+0.22)

Score analysis

South Korea 55.12%
Draw 24.94%
Vietnam 19.92%
South Korea
1-0 @ 13.72% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 11.01% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.9% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.04% (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.37% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.02% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 55.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.94%
Vietnam
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.22)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.92%