Iraq vs Indonesia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.