Iraq national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Amman International Stadium
Jordan national football team

Iraq
2 - 2
Jordan

Hussein (70'), Al-Hamadi (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Naimat (31', 79')
Iraq win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Iraq and Jordan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Qatar 0-0 Iraq
Friday, October 13 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jordan 1-3 Iran
Friday, October 13 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
IraqDrawJordan
53.07% (9.44 9.44)25.17% (-1.902 -1.9)21.75% (-7.545 -7.55)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-1.105 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (1.85 1.85)54.31% (-1.856 -1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (1.518 1.52)75.7% (-1.525 -1.53)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (5.08 5.08)20.46% (-5.086 -5.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (7.477 7.48)52.93% (-7.483 -7.48)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (-5.581 -5.58)40.01% (5.575 5.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34% (-5.521 -5.52)76.66% (5.513 5.51)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 53.06%
    Jordan 21.75%
    Draw 25.17%
IraqDrawJordan
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.98 0.98)
2-0 @ 10.3% (2.11 2.11)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.707 0.71)
3-0 @ 5.45% (1.724 1.72)
3-1 @ 4.99% (1.02 1.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.89 0.89)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.625 0.63)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.9 -0.9)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.331 -0.33)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.5% (-1.88 -1.88)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-1.372 -1.37)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-1.564 -1.56)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.761 -0.76)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.728 -0.73)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: Jordan vs Iraq

Jordan
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Iraq
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2020 3pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
0-0
Iraq
Mar 24, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
P-P
Iraq
Mar 26, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Iraq
3-2
Jordan
Hussein (36'), Rasa (52'), Ali (70')
Sulaka (5' og.), Faisal (87')
rhs 2.0


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