Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.