Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Jordan	Draw	Iran
30.3% ( 0.04)	27.01% ( -0.02)	42.69% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47% (

0.08)

55.53% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

0.07)

76.7% (

-0.07)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.08)

33.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

0.08)

69.96% (

-0.08)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

0.03)

25.74% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33% (

0.04)

60.67% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Jordan 30.3%

Iran 42.68%

Draw 27.01%

Jordan	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.68%