International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT King Abdullah International Stadium
  • Obieda Al-Samarneh 43' yellowcard
  • Ehsan Haddad 46' yellowcard
  • Yazan Al-Naimat 74' goal
  • goal Sardar Azmoun 6'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 28'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Kanani 49'
  • yellowcard Shoja Khalilzadeh 81'
  • goal Mehrdad Mohammadi 90'+4'

Jordan vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 6.00pm
Norway 6 - 0 Jordan

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 4.30pm
Iran 4 - 0 Angola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result

Jordan 30.3% (+0.05)
Draw 27.01% (-0.02)
Iran 42.69% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.5% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.47% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 55.53% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 23.29% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 76.7% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 10.29% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 89.7% (-0.05)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5 66.66% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.34% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.04% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.96% (-0.09)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 74.26% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.74% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.33% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.67% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Jordan 30.3%
Draw 27.01%
Iran 42.68%
Jordan
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.03% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.01%
Iran
0-1 @ 11.64% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.68%