Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.