International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Basra Sport City Stadium
  • Meshaal Barsham 27' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Osama Rashid 27'

Qatar vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 4.15pm
Qatar 1 - 1 Russia

Iraq

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 16, 2023 8.00pm
Colombia 1 - 0 Iraq

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Qatar 37.02% (+0.21)
Draw 30.05% (+0.13)
Iraq 32.93% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.88% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.65% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 65.35% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 15.87% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 84.13% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 6.07% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 93.93% (+0.16)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 66.13% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.87% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 29.46% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 70.54% (+0.11)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 63.32% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 36.68% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 26.54% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 73.46% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Qatar 37.01%
Draw 30.05%
Iraq 32.93%
Qatar
1-0 @ 13.44% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 37.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 12.42% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.05%
Iraq
0-1 @ 12.46% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 32.93%