World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 6, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Spisska Bela - stadion s umelou hracou plochou
  • Trezeguet 3' goal
  • Trezeguet 8' goal
  • Mohamed Abdelmonem 55' yellowcard
  • Trezeguet 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Trezeguet 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cheick Ouedraogo 31'
  • goal Lassina Traore 56'

Egypt vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 19, 2023 4.00pm
Sierra Leone 0 - 2 Egypt

Burkina Faso

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 1.00pm
Ethiopia 0 - 3 Burkina Faso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result

Egypt 56.54% (+0.15)
Draw 25.2% (+0.21)
Burkina Faso 18.26% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.77% (-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.8% (-1.14)
Under 2.5 58.2% (+1.14)
Over 3.5 21.15% (-0.90)
Under 3.5 78.84% (+0.90)
Over 4.5 9.01% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 90.99% (+0.53)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 79.39% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 20.61% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 46.84% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 53.16% (+0.63)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 53.87% (-1.09)
Under 0.5 46.12% (+1.09)
Over 1.5 18.18% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 81.82% (+0.86)

Score analysis

Egypt 56.53%
Draw 25.19%
Burkina Faso 18.26%
Egypt
1-0 @ 15.01% (+0.46)
2-0 @ 11.85% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.24% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 9.51% (+0.41)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.19%
Burkina Faso
0-1 @ 7.36% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.26%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 1, 2017 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aristide Bance 73' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 86' yellowcard
  • Steeve Yago 98' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ahmed Fathy 41'
  • yellowcard Kahraba 54'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 66'