Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.