World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Spisska Bela - stadion s umelou hracou plochou

Egypt
2 - 1
Burkina Faso

Trezeguet (3', 8')
Abdelmonem (55'), Trezeguet (90+1'), Trezeguet (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Traore (56')
Ouedraogo (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Egypt and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 2-4 Croatia
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Burkina Faso

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Niger
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Burkina Faso
56.54% ( 0.14)	25.2% ( 0.21)	18.26% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 42.77% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8% (

-1.13)

58.2% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15% (

-0.9)

78.84% (

0.89)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

-0.39)

20.61% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84% (

-0.62)

53.16% (

0.62)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.87% (

-1.09)

46.12% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.18% (

-0.85)

81.82% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Egypt 56.53%

Burkina Faso 18.26%

Draw 25.19%

Egypt	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.01% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.49% Total : 18.26%