Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de Bouake

Ivory Coast
2 - 0
Zambia

Krasso (73', 84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Prosper Mphand (33'), Chongo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Zambia

All competitions

Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Zambia
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Zambia
65.16% ( 0.25)	21.87% ( -0.13)	12.96% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 40.72% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31% (

0.24)

54.69% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

0.19)

76.01% (

-0.19)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

0.17)

16.15% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

0.3)

45.6% (

-0.3)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.56% (

-0.06)

51.43% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.36% (

-0.04)

85.63% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 65.15%

Zambia 12.96%

Draw 21.87%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 15.14% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 65.15%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.87%	0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 12.96%