World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade d'Agadir

Morocco
2 - 1
Zambia

Ziyech (6' pen.), Ben Seghir (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chilufya (80')
Prosper Mphand (43'), Kangwa (72'), Musonda (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Morocco and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Zambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Malawi
Tuesday, March 26 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Zambia
55.87% ( -0.16)	25.97% ( 0.09)	18.16% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 40.72% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.16% (

-0.2)

60.84% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.13% (

-0.15)

80.87% (

0.15)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

-0.15)

21.96% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

-0.23)

55.25% (

0.23)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.18% (

-0.03)

47.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.9% (

-0.02)

83.1% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Morocco 55.86%

Zambia 18.16%

Draw 25.96%

Morocco	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 15.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 55.86%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.16%