Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.