COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 2, 2024 at 11am UK

Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium

Comoros
1 - 0
Zambia

Youssouf (61')
Youssouf (61'), Alfonsi Ahmed (71'), Djambae (78'), Sadad (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banda (23'), Mwamba (29'), Tembo (71')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Comoros and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Kenya 0-2 Comoros
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Zambia

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Zimbabwe
Sunday, June 30 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Zambia
34.54% ( 0.4)	28.85% ( 0.03)	36.61% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.68% (

-0.07)

61.32% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.76% (

-0.05)

81.23% (

0.06)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61% (

0.23)

33.39% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

0.25)

70.01% (

-0.25)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.31)

32.03% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

-0.35)

68.5% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Comoros 34.54%

Zambia 36.61%

Draw 28.84%

Comoros	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.54%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.84%	0-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.61%