/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzamlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzimlog.png)
-
Killian Kanguluma
27'
-
Killian Kanguluma
33'
-
Mathews Banda
68'
-
Michael Tapera
8'
-
Juan Adrian Mutudza
35'
-
Emmanuel Jalai
36'
-
Takunda Benhura
43'
-
McKinnon Matema Mushore
54'
Zambia vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result
Zambia
56.79%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
24.42%
▼
(-0.06)
Zimbabwe
18.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
45.64%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.17%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
54.83%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
23.87%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
76.13%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
10.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
89.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
80.81%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
19.19%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
49.12%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
50.87%
▼
(-0.17)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5
56.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
43.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
20.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
79.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Zambia
56.78%
Draw
24.42%
Zimbabwe
18.79%
Zambia
1-0
@
13.78%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 56.78%
2-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 56.78%
Draw
1-1
@
11.47%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.42%
0-0 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.42%
Zimbabwe
0-1
@
6.95%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.79%
1-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.79%