COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jun 30, 2024 at 2pm UK

Wolfson Stadium

Zambia
0 - 2
Zimbabwe

Kanguluma (27'), Banda (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tapera (8'), Benhura (43')
Adrian Mutudza (35'), Jalai (36'), Matema Mushore (54')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Zimbabwe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Kenya
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Zimbabwe

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Comoros 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, June 27 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Zimbabwe
56.79% ( 0.14)	24.42% ( -0.06)	18.79% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 45.64% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.17% (

0.13)

54.83% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

0.11)

76.13% (

-0.11)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

0.11)

19.19% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

0.17)

50.87% (

-0.17)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48% (

-0.01)

43.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.28% (

-0.01)

79.72% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Zambia 56.78%

Zimbabwe 18.79%

Draw 24.42%

Zambia	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 56.78%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.79%