MX23RW : Sunday, June 16 15:12:45| >> :600:523755:523755:
South Africa national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

South Africa
3 - 1
Zimbabwe

Rayners (1'), Morena (55', 76')
Mokoena (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chirewa (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Africa and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: South Africa 1-0 Zimbabwe

South Africa are coming off a successful Africa Cup of Nations campaign and are now looking to reach their first World Cup since they hosted the tournament back in 2010. In addition, they have retained almost the exact same squad that they took to the Ivory Coast earlier this year and look like a more well-drilled unit than most in this group. It is usually an absorbing encounter when these neighbouring rivals meet and it should be no different here, but we fancy the hosts will be able to edge the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawZimbabwe
64.15% (0.129 0.13) 22.56% (0.291 0.29) 13.29% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 39.75% (-1.754 -1.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48% (-1.798 -1.8)56.52% (1.797 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49% (-1.471 -1.47)77.51% (1.469 1.47)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)17.14% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (-1.054 -1.05)47.37% (1.051 1.05)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.97% (-1.762 -1.76)52.03% (1.759 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (-1.182 -1.18)86.02% (1.179 1.18)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 64.14%
    Zimbabwe 13.29%
    Draw 22.55%
South AfricaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 15.72% (0.76 0.76)
2-0 @ 13.87% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-0 @ 8.16% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.14%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.92% (0.598 0.6)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.29%

How you voted: South Africa vs Zimbabwe

South Africa
62.7%
Draw
20.3%
Zimbabwe
16.9%
59
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 11pm
Jun 13, 2022 2pm
Nov 11, 2021 7pm
Second Round
South Africa
1-0
Zimbabwe
Mokoena (26')
Mashego (46'), Phete (59')

Nakamba (56')
Sep 3, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Zimbabwe
0-0
South Africa
Musona (54'), Bhasera (60'), Billiat (83')
Mobbie (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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