South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.