World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Al Salam Stadium

South Africa
3 - 1
Zimbabwe

Rayners (1'), Morena (55', 76')
Mokoena (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chirewa (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Africa and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Zimbabwe

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Zimbabwe
64.15% ( 0.13)	22.56% ( 0.29)	13.29% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 39.75% (

-1.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.48% (

-1.8)

56.52% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.49% (

-1.47)

77.51% (

1.47)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

-0.59)

17.14% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.63% (

-1.05)

47.37% (

1.05)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.97% (

-1.76)

52.03% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.98% (

-1.18)

86.02% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

South Africa 64.14%

Zimbabwe 13.29%

Draw 22.55%

South Africa	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 15.72% ( 0.76) 2-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.14%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.55%	0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.2% Total : 13.29%