World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 1
South Africa

Dele-Bashiru (46')
Osayi-Samuel (15')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zwane (29')
Modiba (32'), Mudau (48'), Ngezana (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

South Africa

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 3-3 South Africa
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	South Africa
56.83% ( -0.34)	25.14% ( 0.16)	18.03% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 42.54% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.7% (

-0.33)

58.3% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.08% (

-0.26)

78.92% (

0.26)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.27)

20.53% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

-0.43)

53.04% (

0.42)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.53% (

0.02)

46.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91% (

0.02)

82.08% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 56.82%

South Africa 18.03%

Draw 25.13%

Nigeria	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 15.1% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.82%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.03%