/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fghalog.png)
-
Bruno Onyemaechi
20'
-
Cyriel Dessers
38'
-
Ademola Lookman
84'
-
Jamilu Collins
88'
-
Salis Abdul Samed
37'
-
Jerome Opoku
56'
-
Jordan Ayew
90'+5'
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Tariq Lamptey
90'+6'
Nigeria vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fnigeria_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
Result
Nigeria
55.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
26.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Ghana
18.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
41.67%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.81%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
60.19%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
19.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
80.38%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
8.12%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
91.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
78%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
22%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
44.68%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
55.31%
▲
(+0.07)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5
53.42%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
46.58%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
17.83%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
82.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Nigeria
55.11%
Draw
25.99%
Ghana
18.87%
Nigeria
1-0
@
15.51%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 55.11%
2-0 @ 11.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 55.11%
Draw
1-1
@
11.85%
0-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.99%
0-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.99%
Ghana
0-1
@
7.83%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.87%
1-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.87%