Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Mozambique
2 - 2
Ghana

Catamo (90+1' pen.), Mandava (90+4')
Catamo (31'), Mandava (66'), Mexer (69'), Nanani (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ayew (15' pen., 70' pen.)
Ashimeru (28'), Ayew (49'), Baba (58'), Djiku (62'), Ayew (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mozambique and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cape Verde 3-0 Mozambique
Friday, January 19 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	2	4	6
2	Egypt	2	0	2
3	Ghana	2	-1	1
4	Mozambique	2	-3	1

Ghana

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Ghana
Thursday, January 18 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	2	4	6
2	Egypt	2	0	2
3	Ghana	2	-1	1
4	Mozambique	2	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Ghana
28.52% ( -0.05)	28.18% ( 0.02)	43.3% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.33% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.6% (

-0.12)

60.4% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.46% (

-0.09)

80.54% (

0.08)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

-0.11)

37.32% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

-0.11)

74.1% (

0.1)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.04)

27.68% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-0.05)

63.23% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 28.52%

Ghana 43.29%

Draw 28.16%

Mozambique	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.52%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.29%