Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.