Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 22, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • Geny Catamo 31' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 66' yellowcard
  • Mexer 69' yellowcard
  • Nanani 84' yellowcard
  • Geny Catamo 90'+1' goal
  • Reinildo Mandava 90'+4' goal
  • goal Jordan Ayew 15'
  • yellowcard Majeed Ashimeru 28'
  • yellowcard Andre Ayew 49'
  • yellowcard Iddrisu Baba 58'
  • yellowcard Alexander Djiku 62'
  • goal Jordan Ayew 70'
  • yellowcard Jordan Ayew 84'

Mozambique vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 19, 2024 2.00pm
Cape Verde 3 - 0 Mozambique

Ghana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 18, 2024 8.00pm
Egypt 2 - 2 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Mozambique 28.52% (-0.06)
Draw 28.18% (+0.03)
Ghana 43.3% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.33% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.6% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 60.4% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 8.03% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 91.97% (+0.05)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 62.68% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 37.32% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 25.9% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 74.1% (+0.10)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.68% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.76% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 63.23% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Mozambique 28.52%
Draw 28.16%
Ghana 43.29%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 10.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.32% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.16%
Ghana
0-1 @ 13.26% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.52% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 43.29%