World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Zambia
0 - 1
Tanzania

Kampamba (81'), Kangwa (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Junior Shentembo (5')
Franses Mzize (33'), Yahya (36'), Manula (83'), M'Mombwa (90+3'), Mwaikenda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zambia and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Zambia
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Tanzania

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Tanzania
Sunday, June 2 at 10am in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Tanzania
47.77% ( -0.34)	26.5% ( 0.06)	25.73% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.05% (

-0.04)

55.95% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.95% (

-0.04)

77.05% (

0.04)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

-0.17)

23.44% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55% (

-0.25)

57.45% (

0.25)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

0.21)

37.2% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.01% (

0.21)

73.99% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Zambia 47.77%

Tanzania 25.73%

Draw 26.5%

Zambia	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.73%