COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jun 27, 2024 at 5pm UK

Konkola Stadium

Zambia
0 - 2
Kenya

Chinga (8'), Kangwanda (54'), Kapumbu (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Odhiambo (9' pen.), Otieno (19')
Onyango (66'), Odhiambo (90')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Kenya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Kenya
36.5% ( 0.18)	27.38% ( -0.2)	36.11% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.72% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.13% (

0.76)

55.87% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.01% (

0.61)

76.98% (

-0.62)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

0.49)

29.37% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

0.59)

65.35% (

-0.6)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.38)

29.61% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

0.46)

65.64% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Zambia 36.5%

Kenya 36.11%

Draw 27.37%

Zambia	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.5%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.11%