World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Timothy Ouma
26'
-
Duke Abuya
72'
-
Saidi Ntibazonkiza
58'
-
Sudi Abdallah
85'
-
Mokono Elie Eldhino
90'+5'
Kenya vs Burundi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result
Kenya
47.46%
▲
(+0.26)
Draw
25.38%
▼
(-0.09)
Burundi
27.16%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
52.54%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.31%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 2.5
50.69%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
27.41%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
72.59%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
12.92%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
87.08%
▼
(-0.14)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
78.63%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
21.37%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
45.65%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
54.34%
▼
(-0.32)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5
66.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
33.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
30.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
69.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Kenya
47.46%
Draw
25.38%
Burundi
27.16%
Kenya
1-0
@
10.94%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.46%
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.46%
Draw
1-1
@
12.07%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.38%
0-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.38%
Burundi
0-1
@
7.82%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.16%
1-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.16%