World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Bingu National Stadium

Kenya
1 - 1
Burundi

Abuya (72')
Ouma (26')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abdallah (85')
Ntibazonkiza (58'), Elie Eldhino (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Kenya and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Burundi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Botswana
Monday, March 25 at 10am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Burundi
47.46% ( 0.26)	25.38% ( -0.08)	27.16% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 52.54% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.31% (

0.24)

50.69% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.41% (

0.21)

72.59% (

-0.2)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

0.21)

21.37% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.65% (

0.32)

54.34% (

-0.32)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

-0.01)

33.19% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.21% (

-0.01)

69.79% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kenya 47.46%

Burundi 27.16%

Draw 25.38%

Kenya	Draw	Burundi
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.46%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.16%