World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Seychelles
0 - 5
Kenya

Monay (36'), Labrosse (75'), Raheriniaina (87')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Olunga (3', 6'), Juma (45+3'), Onyango (62'), Omala (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Seychelles and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

Last Game: Ivory Coast 9-0 Seychelles
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Kenya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 2-1 Kenya
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.89%) and 0-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
Seychelles	Draw	Kenya
4.94% ( 0.16)	11.62% ( 0.1)	83.44% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 39.22% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.12% (

0.33)

35.88% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.03% (

0.37)

57.96% (

-0.36)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.86% (

0.84)

58.13% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.33% (

0.45)

89.67% (

-0.45)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.67% (

0.02)

6.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.21% (

0.04)

23.78% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Seychelles 4.94%

Kenya 83.44%

Draw 11.62%

Seychelles	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.94%	1-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.38% Total : 11.62%	0-2 @ 14.01% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 12.89% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 8.9% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 83.44%