International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 10.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Municipal de Mahamasina
  • Rayan Raveloson 19' goal

Madagascar vs Burundi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

Burundi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Madagascar in this match.

Result

Madagascar 49.13% (-0.04)
Draw 26.46% (+0.03)
Burundi 24.4% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.01% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.26% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 56.74% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 22.31% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 77.69% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 9.7% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.3% (+0.04)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 76.84% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 23.16% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 42.97% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 57.04% (+0.07)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5 61.17% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.83% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.44% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 75.56% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Madagascar 49.13%
Draw 26.46%
Burundi 24.4%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 13.15% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.46%
Burundi
0-1 @ 8.51% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 24.4%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jun 27, 2019 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
  • Marco Ilaimaharitra 76' goal
  • Jerome Mombris 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cedric Amissi 58'