Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.