Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.