World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT FNB Stadium
  • Rayan Raveloson 1' goal
  • Rado Niaina Rabemananjara 3' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Amada 26' yellowcard
  • Rayan Raveloson 66' goal
  • Tendry Manovo Mataniah Randrianarijaona 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafidine Abdullah 7'
  • yellowcard Kassim M'Dahoma 89'
  • goal El Fardou Ben 90'+4'

Madagascar vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 20, 2023 7.00pm
Chad 0 - 3 Madagascar

Comoros

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 4.00pm
Comoros 1 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 42.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 28.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.

Result

Madagascar 42.73% (-0.23)
Draw 28.94% (+0.01)
Comoros 28.32% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.23% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.02% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 62.98% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 17.55% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 82.45% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 6.97% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 93.03% (-0.03)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 70.77% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 29.23% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 34.81% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 65.19% (+0.13)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 61.09% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 38.91% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 24.36% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 75.64% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Madagascar 42.72%
Draw 28.94%
Comoros 28.32%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 13.98% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 42.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.37% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.94%
Comoros
0-1 @ 10.73% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.23% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.07% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 28.32%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jul 13, 2021 11.00am
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium