Rwanda national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
 
Madagascar national football team

Rwanda
2 - 0
Madagascar

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Rwanda and Madagascar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Rwanda
Friday, March 22 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Madagascar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Madagascar 1-0 Burundi
Friday, March 22 at 10am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 34.87%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.89%) and 1-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 1-0 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawMadagascar
33.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)31.18% (0.0010000000000012 0)34.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)68.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)86.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22%37.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45%74.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)37.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 33.94%
    Madagascar 34.87%
    Draw 31.18%
RwandaDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 13.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 33.94%
0-0 @ 14.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 31.18%
0-1 @ 13.89%
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 34.87%