Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 41.5%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 28.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.