Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.