World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 11, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal
  • Ninga Ndonane 46' yellowcard
  • goal Myziane Maolida 59'
  • goal El Fardou Ben 76'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 90'

Chad vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 5, 2024 5.00pm
CAR 1 - 0 Chad

Comoros

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
Madagascar 2 - 1 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result

Chad 25.32% (-0.18)
Draw 28.94% (-0.06)
Comoros 45.74% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.41% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.7% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 64.29% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 16.61% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 83.39% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 6.46% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 93.54% (-0.04)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5 57.72% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 42.28% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 21.32% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 78.67% (+0.10)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 71.74% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 28.26% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 36.03% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 63.97% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Chad 25.31%
Draw 28.92%
Comoros 45.74%
Chad
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 25.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.94% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.92%
Comoros
0-1 @ 15.09% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.21% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.02% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.46% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.74%