World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 5, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Municipal
  • Venuste Baboula 29' goal

Central African Republic vs Chad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 20, 2023 7.00pm
Mali 1 - 1 CAR

Chad

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 20, 2023 7.00pm
Chad 0 - 3 Madagascar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 95.96%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Chad had a probability of 0.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 5-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Central African Republic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Central African Republic.

Result

Central African Republic 95.96% (+0.02)
Draw 3.15% (-0.02)
Chad 0.88% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.82% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 85.44% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 14.56% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 70.09% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 29.91% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 51.79% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 48.21% (-0.12)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 98.72% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 1.27% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 93.17% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 6.83% (-0.04)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5 33.24% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 66.76% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 6.26% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 93.73% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Central African Republic 95.94%
Draw 3.15%
Chad 0.88%
Central African Republic
4-0 @ 12.84%
3-0 @ 11.76% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 11.2% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 8.15% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
7-0 @ 5.08% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 4.53% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
6-1 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.27% (-0.02)
8-0 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
7-1 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
9-0 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
8-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.73%
Total : 95.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 3.15%
Chad
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 0.88%