World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Municipal

CAR
1 - 0
Chad

Baboula (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Chad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 4-0 P. New Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

Chad

Last Game: Mauritius 1-2 Chad
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 95.96%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Chad had a probability of 0.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 5-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Central African Republic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Central African Republic.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Chad
95.96% ( 0.02)	3.15% ( -0.02)	0.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 32.82% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

85.44% (

0.05)

14.56% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

70.09% (

0.09)

29.91% (

-0.09)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.72% (

1.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

93.17% (

0.03)

6.83% (

-0.04)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.24% (

-0.03)

66.76% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.26% (

-0.01)

93.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 95.94%

Chad 0.88%

Draw 3.15%

Central African Republic	Draw	Chad
4-0 @ 12.84% 3-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 8-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 9-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 8-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 95.94%	1-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 3.15%	Other @ 0.88% Total : 0.88%