International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2024 9.30am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Race Course International Stadium (Colombo)
  • Yawanendji Malipangou Christian Theodor 11' goal
  • Peter Guinari 56' yellowcard
  • Tieri Godame 79' goal
  • yellowcard Joseph Waiwai 3'
  • yellowcard Ati Kepo 90'

Central African Republic vs Papua New Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 22, 2024 9.30am
CAR 6 - 0 Bhutan

Papua New Guinea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 22, 2024 3.15pm
Sri Lanka 0 - 0 P. New Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central African Republic would win this match.

Result

Central African Republic 76.52% (+0.07)
Draw 15.28% (-0.07)
Papua New Guinea 8.2% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.48% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.13% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 39.87% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 37.77% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 62.23% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 20.38% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 79.62% (-0.27)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 91.31% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 8.68% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 70.09% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 29.91% (-0.24)

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 48.71% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 51.29% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 14.47% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 85.53% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Central African Republic 76.5%
Draw 15.28%
Papua New Guinea 8.2%
Central African Republic
2-0 @ 13.29% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 10.83% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 6.62% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.42% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.23% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.16% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 76.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.27% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 2.97% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.28%
Papua New Guinea
0-1 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 8.2%