International Friendlies
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Mar 22, 2024 3.15pm
0
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Race Course International Stadium (Colombo)
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-
Philip Steven
45'+3'
-
J. Waiwai
79'
Sri Lanka vs Papua New Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Sri Lanka win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result
Sri Lanka
24.99%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
24.33%
▲
(+0.05)
Papua New Guinea
50.68%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
53.93%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.07%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
47.93%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
29.89%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
70.11%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
14.6%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
85.4%
▲
(+0.09)
Sri Lanka Goals
Over 0.5
66.52%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
33.48%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
29.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
70.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
81.07%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
18.93%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
49.57%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
50.43%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Sri Lanka
24.99%
Draw
24.33%
Papua New Guinea
50.68%
Sri Lanka
1-0
@
6.93%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.99%
2-1 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.99%
Draw
1-1
@
11.54%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.33%
0-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.33%
Papua New Guinea
0-1
@
10.54%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.78%
1-3 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.68%
1-2 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.78%
1-3 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.68%