World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Adama Stadium
  • Ahmed Maher 33' goal
  • Nasser Al-Gahwashi 67' goal
  • Mohammed Al Tairi 86' yellowcard
  • Abdulwasea Al Matari 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Charitha Rathnayake 14'
  • yellowcard Harsha Fernando 23'
  • yellowcard H. F. Kurukulasuriya N. 23'

Yemen vs Sri Lanka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Yemen

All competitions

Sri Lanka

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Yemen had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Yemen win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Yemen 36.43% (+1.15)
Draw 25.78% (+0.34)
Sri Lanka 37.8% (-1.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.99% (-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.8% (-1.40)
Under 2.5 49.21% (+1.41)
Over 3.5 28.73% (-1.28)
Under 3.5 71.27% (+1.28)
Over 4.5 13.8% (-0.87)
Under 4.5 86.2% (+0.88)

Yemen Goals

Over 0.5 73.77% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.23% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.67% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.33% (-0.01)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5 74.54% (-1.43)
Under 0.5 25.46% (+1.44)
Over 1.5 39.71% (-2.00)
Under 1.5 60.29% (+2.00)

Score analysis

Yemen 36.43%
Draw 25.77%
Sri Lanka 37.8%
Yemen
1-0 @ 8.94% (+0.51)
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 5.98% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 6.68% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
Sri Lanka
0-1 @ 9.14% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.27)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 37.8%