World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg

Oct 17, 2023 at 10.30am UK

Race Course International Stadium (Colombo)

Sri Lanka
1 - 1
Yemen

(Yemen win 4-1 on aggregate)

Rathnayake (89')
Mohamed (60'), Rathnayake (89'), Suresh (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Al Matari (4')
Hanash (46'), M. Hanash (46'), Al-Sarori (90+5')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Sri Lanka and Yemen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sri Lanka

Last Game: Yemen 3-0 Sri Lanka
Thursday, October 12 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Yemen

Last Game: Yemen 3-0 Sri Lanka
Thursday, October 12 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yemen win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yemen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Sri Lanka win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Sri Lanka	Draw	Yemen
19.52% ( -0.73)	20.56% ( -0.11)	59.92% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.55% (

-0.6)

37.45% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.33% (

-0.64)

59.67% (

0.65)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41% (

-1.06)

32.59% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87% (

-1.21)

69.13% (

1.21)

Yemen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

0.05)

12.19% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.17% (

0.11)

37.84% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Sri Lanka 19.52%

Yemen 59.92%

Draw 20.56%

Sri Lanka	Draw	Yemen
2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.52%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.56%	1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.1% Total : 59.92%