Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yemen win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yemen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Sri Lanka win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.