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Africa Cup of Nations

Chad national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
Mauritius national football team

Chad
1 - 0
Mauritius

Mouandilmadji (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Chad and Mauritius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

Last Game: Chad 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 0-0 Angola
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chad win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chad in this match.

Result
ChadDrawMauritius
39.92% (-0.172 -0.17)26.38% (0.050999999999998 0.05)33.7% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.62% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.18 -0.18)52.07% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.155 -0.16)73.79% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (-0.172 -0.17)25.62% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (-0.24 -0.24)60.5% (0.245 0.24)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.25% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)65.21% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chad 39.92%
    Mauritius 33.7%
    Draw 26.37%
ChadDrawMauritius
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.92%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.7%

How you voted: Chad vs Mauritius

Chad
30.4%
Draw
21.7%
Mauritius
47.8%
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