Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Marius Mouandilmadji
90'+3'
Chad vs Mauritius - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chad win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chad in this match.
Result
Chad
39.92%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
26.38%
▲
(+0.06)
Mauritius
33.7%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
52.62%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.93%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
52.07%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
26.2%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
73.79%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 4.5
12.13%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
87.87%
▲
(+0.11)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5
74.38%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
25.62%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
39.49%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
60.5%
▲
(+0.25)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5
70.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
29.25%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
34.79%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
65.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Chad
39.92%
Draw
26.37%
Mauritius
33.7%
Chad
1-0
@
10.2%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.92%
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.92%
Draw
1-1
@
12.54%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.37%
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.37%
Mauritius
0-1
@
9.21%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 33.7%
1-2 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 33.7%