Kenya national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
Comoros national football team

Kenya
0 - 2
Comoros


Ochuoga (12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djambae (34' pen., 49')
Alfonsi Ahmed (10')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Kenya and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Kenya
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Comoros

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, June 27 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
KenyaDrawComoros
20.89% (0.293 0.29)27.3% (0.076000000000001 0.08)51.82% (-0.373 -0.37)
Both teams to score 41.18% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.68% (0.012 0.01)62.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.03% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)81.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.45% (0.32700000000001 0.33)45.55% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.63% (0.258 0.26)81.37% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)24.37% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.23 -0.23)58.77% (0.227 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 20.89%
    Comoros 51.81%
    Draw 27.28%
KenyaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 4.85% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.27% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 20.89%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 15.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 11.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 51.81%