Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Josh Koroma
34'
-
Alhassan Koroma
51'
-
Osman Kakay
76'
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Marius Mouandilmadji
29'
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Wiliam Damba
36'
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Ahmat Abderamane
59'
Sierra Leone vs Chad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chad had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result
Sierra Leone
64.98%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
20.39%
▲
(+0.03)
Chad
14.63%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
49.24%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.5%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
45.5%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
32.17%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
67.83%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
16.2%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
83.8%
▼
(-0.05)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5
86.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
13.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
60.02%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
39.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5
56.74%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
43.26%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
20.49%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
79.51%
▼
(-0.14)
Score analysis
Sierra Leone
64.97%
Draw
20.39%
Chad
14.63%
Sierra Leone
2-0
@
11.7%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 11.57% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 64.97%
1-0 @ 11.57% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 64.97%
Draw
1-1
@
9.7%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.39%
0-0 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.39%
Chad
0-1
@
4.79%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.63%
1-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.63%