World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 1
Egypt

Balde (42')
Sambinha (38'), Nogueira (38'), Djalo (63'), Franculino (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Salah (70')
Kamal (27'), Amin (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Guinea-Bissau and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Ethiopia
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Egypt

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Burkina Faso
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Egypt
18.04% ( -3.02)	25.79% ( -1.47)	56.16% ( 4.48)

Both teams to score 40.95% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.58% (

1.63)

60.42% (

-1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.44% (

1.22)

80.55% (

-1.22)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.28% (

-2.51)

47.71% (

2.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.97% (

-1.93)

83.02% (

1.92)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

2.64)

21.66% (

-2.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

3.89)

54.8% (

-3.89)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 18.04%

Egypt 56.16%

Draw 25.78%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 7.65% ( -1.08) 2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.04%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.65) 0-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.66) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 15.81% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 1.1) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.53) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 56.16%