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World Cup

Guinea-Bissau national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Ethiopia national football team

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Ethiopia


Cande (51'), Cande (57')
FT

Panomo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Guinea-Bissau and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Ethiopia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-1 Lesotho
Sunday, March 24 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawEthiopia
35.29% (-1.377 -1.38)28.36% (0.612 0.61)36.36% (0.761 0.76)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-1.852 -1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.43% (-2.281 -2.28)59.57% (2.278 2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09% (-1.785 -1.79)79.91% (1.781 1.78)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-2.018 -2.02)31.99% (2.015 2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (-2.364 -2.36)68.45% (2.361 2.36)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)31.3% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (-0.78299999999999 -0.78)67.66% (0.779 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 35.28%
    Ethiopia 36.35%
    Draw 28.35%
Guinea-BissauDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 10.01% (0.828 0.83)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.62% (0.76 0.76)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.35%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Ethiopia

Guinea-Bissau
76.0%
Draw
12.0%
Ethiopia
12.0%
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