Ethiopia national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 21, 2024 at 12pm UK
Addis Ababa Stadium
Lesotho national football team

Ethiopia
1 - 2
Lesotho

Solomon (48')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thaba-Ntso (32'), Moerane (42')
Lebokollane (20')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Ethiopia and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Ethiopia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in International Friendlies

Lesotho

Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, January 10 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ethiopia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.08%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
EthiopiaDrawLesotho
48.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)29.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)22.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 38.48% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.24% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.9% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)85.1% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12%63.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.58% (0.014000000000003 0.01)46.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.96% (0.009999999999998 0.01)82.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 48.19%
    Lesotho 22.56%
    Draw 29.23%
EthiopiaDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 16.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
4-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 48.19%
0-0 @ 13.08%
1-1 @ 12.71%
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 22.56%

Head to Head
May 31, 2022 8am
International Friendly
Ethiopia
1-1
Lesotho
May 28, 2022 8am
International Friendly
Ethiopia
1-1
Lesotho