World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Sierra Leone3 - 1Guinea-Bissau
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Guinea-Bissau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mozambique
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
35.48% ( 1.85) | 27.75% ( 0.38) | 36.77% ( -2.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
