World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Sierra Leone
3 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Bundu (19'), Kamara (61'), Turay (90+6')
Jalloh (38'), Jalloh (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tamble (68')
Encada (78')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Guinea-Bissau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mozambique
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Sierra Leone	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
35.48% ( 1.85)	27.75% ( 0.38)	36.77% ( -2.23)

Both teams to score 48.55% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.68% (

-1.27)

57.32% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85% (

-1.02)

78.15% (

1.03)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

0.56)

30.73% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

0.65)

66.98% (

-0.65)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

-1.93)

29.92% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98% (

-2.4)

66.02% (

2.4)

Score Analysis

Sierra Leone 35.47%

Guinea-Bissau 36.77%

Draw 27.75%

Sierra Leone	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.47%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.77%