Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 5, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
  • Bura Nogueira 14' goal
  • Manuel Balde 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neliso Dlamini 67'

Guinea-Bissau vs Eswatini - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Eswatini

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.

Result

Guinea-Bissau 24.18% (-0.03)
Draw 28.57% (+0.01)
Eswatini 47.25% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.4% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.16% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.84% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.93% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 83.07% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 6.63% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 93.37% (+0.02)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5 56.92% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 43.09% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 20.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 79.36% (+0.05)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5 72.74% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.26% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.7% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Guinea-Bissau 24.18%
Draw 28.56%
Eswatini 47.24%
Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 11.74% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.56%
Eswatini
0-1 @ 15.26% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4%
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 47.24%