Angola1 - 0Eswatini
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, March 25 at 9pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Tuesday, March 26 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Angola in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Angola.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Eswatini |
| 53.04% ( | 27.61% ( | 19.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 38.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.4% ( | 64.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.39% ( | 83.61% ( |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( | 24.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( | 59.42% ( |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.35% ( | 48.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.3% ( | 83.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 16.82% ( 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 53.03% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 12.08% ( 2-2 @ 3.04% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 1-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.35% |


