Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Justice Figuaredo
33'
-
Sabelo Ndzinisa
45'+4'
-
Kwakhe Thwala
56'
Somalia vs Eswatini - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 77.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 6.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.85%) and 0-3 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.
Result
Somalia
6.69%
▲
(+0.45)
Draw
15.55%
▲
(+0.71)
Eswatini
77.76%
▼
(-1.15)
Both Teams to Score:
36.09%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.19%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 2.5
46.8%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 3.5
30.94%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 3.5
69.06%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 4.5
15.32%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 4.5
84.67%
▲
(+0.89)
Somalia Goals
Over 0.5
40.15%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 0.5
59.85%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 1.5
9.42%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
90.57%
▼
(-0.23)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5
89.9%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 0.5
10.1%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 1.5
66.74%
▼
(-1.45)
Under 1.5
33.25%
▲
(+1.45)
Score analysis
Somalia
6.69%
Draw
15.55%
Eswatini
77.75%
Somalia
1-0
@
3.1%
▲
(+0.22)
2-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 6.69%
2-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 6.69%
Draw
1-1
@
7.11%
▲
(+0.31)
0-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 15.55%
0-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 15.55%
Eswatini
0-2
@
15.88%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 13.85% ▲ (+0.39)
0-3 @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.33)
1-2 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.14)
0-4 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.39)
1-3 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.15)
0-5 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.27)
1-5 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-6 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 77.75%
0-1 @ 13.85% ▲ (+0.39)
0-3 @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.33)
1-2 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.14)
0-4 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.39)
1-3 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.15)
0-5 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.27)
1-5 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-6 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 77.75%