World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Abdi Mohamed
18'
-
A
18'
-
Abdi Mohamed
45'+1'
-
A
45'+1'
-
Sak Hassan
67'
-
Ahmed Abdullahi Abdi
76'
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Rogers Mato
4'
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Kenneth Semakula
33'
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Aziz Kayondo
44'
Somalia vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 1.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-2 with a probability of 20.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (18.75%) and 0-1 (14.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.23%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.
Result
Somalia
1.21%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
8.01%
▼
(-0.35)
Uganda
90.79%
▲
(+0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
14.62%
▼
(-0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.55%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 2.5
43.45%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 3.5
34.16%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 3.5
65.84%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 4.5
17.64%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 4.5
82.36%
▼
(-0.30)
Somalia Goals
Over 0.5
15.59%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 0.5
84.41%
▲
(+1.04)
Over 1.5
1.28%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
98.72%
▲
(+0.19)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5
93.8%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
6.2%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
76.56%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 1.5
23.44%
▼
(-0.53)
Score analysis
Somalia
1.21%
Draw
8.01%
Uganda
90.78%
Somalia
Other @
1.21%
Total : 1.21%
Total : 1.21%
Draw
0-0
@
5.23%
▼
(-0.10)
1-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 8.01%
1-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 8.01%
Uganda
0-2
@
20.23%
▲
(+0.09)
0-3 @ 18.75% ▲ (+0.29)
0-1 @ 14.55% ▼ (-0.10)
0-4 @ 13.03% ▲ (+0.34)
0-5 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.27)
1-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.24)
0-6 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.11)
0-7 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 90.78%
0-3 @ 18.75% ▲ (+0.29)
0-1 @ 14.55% ▼ (-0.10)
0-4 @ 13.03% ▲ (+0.34)
0-5 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.27)
1-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.24)
0-6 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.11)
0-7 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 90.78%