World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Somalia
0 - 1
Uganda

Mohamed (18'), A (18'), Hassan (67'), Abdullahi Abdi (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mato (4')
Semakula (33'), Kayondo (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Somalia and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Somalia

Last Game: Algeria 3-1 Somalia
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Uganda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea 2-1 Uganda
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 1.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-2 with a probability of 20.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (18.75%) and 0-1 (14.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.23%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.

Result
Somalia	Draw	Uganda
1.21% ( -0.14)	8.01% ( -0.34)	90.79% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 14.62% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.55% (

0.41)

43.45% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.16% (

0.4)

65.84% (

-0.4)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

15.59% (

-1.04)

84.41% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.28% (

-0.18)

98.72% (

0.18)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.8% (

0.19)

6.2% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.56% (

0.53)

23.44% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Somalia 1.21%

Uganda 90.78%

Draw 8.01%

Somalia	Draw	Uganda
Other @ 1.21% Total : 1.21%	0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.1) 1-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.31% Total : 8.01%	0-2 @ 20.23% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 18.75% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 14.55% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 13.03% ( 0.33) 0-5 @ 7.25% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.24) 0-6 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 0-7 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 90.78%